This is how I analyze your data:
CALP day # 1 - actual weight 153, prev wk. av.:150.5
day # 8 - actual: 150.5 (down 2.5 from last week) , av.:151.5 (up 1.0 from last week)
day #15 - actual: 149 (down 1.5 from last week), av.: 149.64 (down 1.86 from last week)
Today: day #22 - actual: 151 (up 2.0 from last week), av.: 151.43 (up 1.79 from last week)
Delta from day #1 to #22 is actual weight (down 2.0), av.: (up 0.99)
Looks as if you were losing about 1-2 pounds per week actual weight, then hit a snag at "Today: day #22", maybe w/ TOM/PMS and went up again. You are still having to include the "up" days in your average, but it's coming down again.
If you keep your data for a much longer period of time and over several TOM cycles, you'll be much better able to tell your true progress. It's difficult because of women's cycles, but a longer set of data will tell the tale.
I look at my actual weight each week, the average and the delta from when I began Atkins. That gives me a really good idea of my progress. I try to not focus on time periods that are too short to do me any good.
I don't look at the delta from when I began CAD, because I know I am never, never, NEVER going back to Atkins, and I am not trying to prove that I should stay on CAD. I gotta.....it's the only thing that works for me!
Even though I have not lost very much, I keep firmly in mind that it IS a loss. When I factor in the probable gain I would have had over the holiday and because of SAD and just every day too, I see it as a much bigger loss than the scale tells me it is. I can't count it as a loss because I didn't actually gain it, but I am certain I would have gained at least 10 pounds since 7/29/02. That helps me see what is actually going on and how much worse I would have been had I not found CAD again.
Make sense? Hope so!
Just give yourself a little more time.....
Take care now, you hear?